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Holding picks · live record · learning
Every pick the holding model has locked, scored on real Binance prices after fees and compared with simply holding Bitcoin over the same days, and what the model learned from the results. Nothing is deleted or edited after it is locked.
| Hold for | Open | Finished | Made money | Avg result | vs BTC | TP / SL / ended | Backtest avg · vs BTC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | 10 | 0 | — | — | — | — | +0.8% · -2.5% |
| 2 months | 10 | 0 | — | — | — | — | +3.2% · -3.8% |
| 3 months | 10 | 0 | — | — | — | — | +6.4% · -4.7% |
| 4 months | 10 | 0 | — | — | — | — | +8.8% · -6.2% |
| 6 months | 10 | 0 | — | — | — | — | +12.2% · -10.5% |
| 1 year | 10 | 0 | — | — | — | — | +20.7% · -19.2% |
Results after fees. vs BTC = the pick's result minus holding BTC over the same days. A pick counts only once it has finished; the backtest column is the walk-forward test of the same rules since 2019 (validation).
| Locked | Hold | Coin | Entry | Take-profit | Stop-loss | Status | Result | BTC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | 1M |  BTC | 82,116 | 108,858 +33% | 68,745 −16% | open · day 5/30 | -1.4% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 1M |  NEAR | 5.016 | 10.032 +100% | 2.508 −50% | open · day 5/30 | -6.7% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 1M |  INJ | 8.722 | 16.411 +88% | 4.877 −44% | open · day 5/30 | -10.9% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 1M |  BNB | 723.36 | 945.64 +31% | 612.22 −15% | open · day 5/30 | +2.0% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 1M |  QNT | 192.23 | 384.46 +100% | 96.115 −50% | open · day 5/30 | -5.8% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 2M | NEAR | 5.016 | 10.032 +100% | 2.508 −50% | open · day 5/60 | -6.7% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 2M | BTC | 82,116 | 119,935 +46% | 63,207 −23% | open · day 5/60 | -1.4% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 2M | INJ | 8.722 | 17.444 +100% | 4.361 −50% | open · day 5/60 | -10.9% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 2M | QNT | 192.23 | 384.46 +100% | 96.115 −50% | open · day 5/60 | -5.8% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 2M |  UNI | 7.199 | 14.398 +100% | 3.600 −50% | open · day 5/60 | -3.4% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 3M | NEAR | 5.016 | 10.032 +100% | 2.508 −50% | open · day 5/90 | -6.7% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 3M | BTC | 82,116 | 128,434 +56% | 58,957 −28% | open · day 5/90 | -1.4% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 3M | INJ | 8.722 | 17.444 +100% | 4.361 −50% | open · day 5/90 | -10.9% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 3M | UNI | 7.199 | 14.398 +100% | 3.600 −50% | open · day 5/90 | -3.4% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 3M |  ZEC | 1,131 | 2,262 +100% | 565.39 −50% | open · day 5/90 | +4.4% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 4M | NEAR | 5.016 | 10.032 +100% | 2.508 −50% | open · day 5/120 | -6.7% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 4M | BTC | 82,116 | 135,600 +65% | 55,374 −33% | open · day 5/120 | -1.4% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 4M | UNI | 7.199 | 14.398 +100% | 3.600 −50% | open · day 5/120 | -3.4% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 4M | ZEC | 1,131 | 2,262 +100% | 565.39 −50% | open · day 5/120 | +4.4% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 4M | INJ | 8.722 | 17.444 +100% | 4.361 −50% | open · day 5/120 | -10.9% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 6M | NEAR | 5.016 | 10.032 +100% | 2.508 −50% | open · day 5/180 | -6.7% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 6M | BTC | 82,116 | 147,620 +80% | 49,364 −40% | open · day 5/180 | -1.4% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 6M | UNI | 7.199 | 14.398 +100% | 3.600 −50% | open · day 5/180 | -3.4% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 6M | ZEC | 1,131 | 2,262 +100% | 565.39 −50% | open · day 5/180 | +4.4% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 6M | INJ | 8.722 | 17.444 +100% | 4.361 −50% | open · day 5/180 | -10.9% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 1Y | BTC | 82,116 | 164,232 +100% | 41,058 −50% | open · day 5/365 | -1.4% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 1Y | BNB | 723.36 | 1,447 +100% | 361.68 −50% | open · day 5/365 | +2.0% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 1Y | NEAR | 5.016 | 10.032 +100% | 2.508 −50% | open · day 5/365 | -6.7% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 1Y |  SOL | 104.11 | 208.22 +100% | 52.055 −50% | open · day 5/365 | -1.5% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-19 | 1Y | UNI | 7.199 | 14.398 +100% | 3.600 −50% | open · day 5/365 | -3.4% | -1.4% |
| 2026-10-15 | 1M | NEAR | 4.884 | 9.768 +100% | 2.442 −50% | open · day 9/30 | -4.2% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 1M | BTC | 81,682 | 108,288 +33% | 68,379 −16% | open · day 9/30 | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 1M |  LINK | 12.435 | 19.868 +60% | 8.719 −30% | open · day 9/30 | -5.1% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 1M | QNT | 205.24 | 410.48 +100% | 102.62 −50% | open · day 9/30 | -11.8% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 1M | BNB | 730.56 | 954.45 +31% | 618.62 −15% | open · day 9/30 | +1.0% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 2M | NEAR | 4.884 | 9.768 +100% | 2.442 −50% | open · day 9/60 | -4.2% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 2M | BTC | 81,682 | 119,308 +46% | 62,869 −23% | open · day 9/60 | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 2M | QNT | 205.24 | 410.48 +100% | 102.62 −50% | open · day 9/60 | -11.8% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 2M | LINK | 12.435 | 22.947 +85% | 7.179 −42% | open · day 9/60 | -5.1% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 2M | UNI | 7.193 | 14.386 +100% | 3.597 −50% | open · day 9/60 | -3.3% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 3M | NEAR | 4.884 | 9.768 +100% | 2.442 −50% | open · day 9/90 | -4.2% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 3M | BTC | 81,682 | 127,764 +56% | 58,641 −28% | open · day 9/90 | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 3M | QNT | 205.24 | 410.48 +100% | 102.62 −50% | open · day 9/90 | -11.8% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 3M | UNI | 7.193 | 14.386 +100% | 3.597 −50% | open · day 9/90 | -3.3% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 3M | ZEC | 1,148 | 2,295 +100% | 573.76 −50% | open · day 9/90 | +2.9% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 4M | NEAR | 4.884 | 9.768 +100% | 2.442 −50% | open · day 9/120 | -4.2% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 4M | BTC | 81,682 | 134,893 +65% | 55,076 −33% | open · day 9/120 | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 4M | ZEC | 1,148 | 2,295 +100% | 573.76 −50% | open · day 9/120 | +2.9% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 4M | UNI | 7.193 | 14.386 +100% | 3.597 −50% | open · day 9/120 | -3.3% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 4M | BNB | 730.56 | 1,178 +61% | 506.67 −31% | open · day 9/120 | +1.0% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 6M | NEAR | 4.884 | 9.768 +100% | 2.442 −50% | open · day 9/180 | -4.2% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 6M | BTC | 81,682 | 146,852 +80% | 49,097 −40% | open · day 9/180 | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 6M | ZEC | 1,148 | 2,295 +100% | 573.76 −50% | open · day 9/180 | +2.9% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 6M | UNI | 7.193 | 14.386 +100% | 3.597 −50% | open · day 9/180 | -3.3% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 6M | BNB | 730.56 | 1,279 +75% | 456.35 −38% | open · day 9/180 | +1.0% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 1Y | BTC | 81,682 | 163,364 +100% | 40,841 −50% | open · day 9/365 | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 1Y | BNB | 730.56 | 1,461 +100% | 365.28 −50% | open · day 9/365 | +1.0% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 1Y |  ETH | 2,422 | 4,843 +100% | 1,211 −50% | open · day 9/365 | -1.6% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 1Y | NEAR | 4.884 | 9.768 +100% | 2.442 −50% | open · day 9/365 | -4.2% | -0.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | 1Y | LINK | 12.435 | 24.870 +100% | 6.218 −50% | open · day 9/365 | -5.1% | -0.8% |
No pick has finished yet. The shortest holding period is 30 days, unless a take-profit or stop is touched sooner.
1 month · learned from 375 finished weeks · the record sets 62%
2 months · learned from 371 finished weeks · the record sets 61%
3 months · learned from 366 finished weeks · the record sets 61%
4 months · learned from 362 finished weeks · the record sets 61%
6 months · learned from 354 finished weeks · the record sets 61%
1 year · learned from 327 finished weeks · the record sets 60%
Over the test the learning moved weight away from short-term momentum toward low volatility, liquidity and age, so the picks lean toward large, established coins. Most picked since 2019 (3 months): BTC 195, ETH 187, BNB 164, TRX 158, ADA 88, XRP 75, LINK 72, LTC 61.
Each Monday adds up to 5 picks per holding period, so one coin can appear in several rows: a 1-year pick and a 1-month pick of the same coin are separate calls with their own levels. Rates count finished picks only. A pick that is still open shows its result at the last daily close. Compare the live rows with the backtest column: the live record is the real test, and it grows every week. Rates: — of finished picks made money so far.
Every coin the model locks at a Monday 00:00 UTC close for any of the six holding periods, plus the launch week. A pick is never edited after it is locked: the entry, take-profit and stop-loss stay as published, and the result is scored from Binance daily candles.
From the first daily candle after the lock: it ends at the take-profit (a resting sell order), at the first daily close at or below the stop, or at the close on its end date. The result is after a 0.1% fee on each side and 0.02% slippage. The BTC column is what holding Bitcoin would have made over the same days.
Which of its nine factors ranked the winners. When a week's holding period ends, every coin of that week's universe is scored, and each factor's rank correlation with the results moves its weight up or down. The bars below show the weights now against the starting weights; the notes say what changed and why.
Because it only counts picks made live. A 1-year pick needs a year to finish. Until the live record grows, the validation page shows how the same rules did on weekly picks since 2019.