How trend holds work
Every daily close (00:00 UTC) the job ranks Binance coins by 30-day trading volume and keeps the 60 most traded that have at least 200 days of history and $2M a day of volume, the same universe as the holding picks. Stablecoins, wrapped tokens, leveraged tokens and memecoins are left out. A coin of that universe starts a hold when its close is above the highest close of the previous 20 days. The stop is the midpoint between the highest and lowest close of the last 20 days; after every close it moves up to the new midpoint if that is higher, and it never moves down. The first daily close below the stop ends the hold. There is no target: a trend can run as far as it runs.
What a holder should expect
Most holds are short and small losers: 90% ended within a month at -4.1% on average. The rest are why trend following exists: holds that lasted longer averaged +90.5%, and the biggest (CHZ from 2021-02-04) made +1978%. That shape means long losing streaks are normal, and that missing a few big trends ruins the result. It also means the edge depends on the market: it was strong in the 2020-2021 bull market and close to zero since 2023, when most altcoins lost ground to Bitcoin.
How it compares
The weekly holding picks also trail Bitcoin (their 1-year "follow it" path turned 1,000 USDT into about 1,858, BTC about 8,729). Trend holds made more per hold before 2023 and less since, with far bigger swings. The Trend Breakout signals use the same rules on 70 coins picked from today's listings, which flatters them (on those coins they made +5.7% per trade since 2023, against +0.8% here); this test rebuilds the universe every day and includes the coins that were later delisted. Every number here is after a 0.1% fee on each side and 0.02% slippage.
Use it responsibly
The live list and track record are automated research, not advice, and the rule failed its own test. If you use it, size each hold so a stop costs no more than you planned, expect most holds to lose a little, and never invest money you cannot afford to lose. See the holding validation and the disclaimer.